NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

Publiziert 30. Juli 2019 | Von Torsten Jinczek

For first time this season, NASCAR will be under the lights if the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR in Richmond as the leader at the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He is searching for his fourth win of the year and the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances provide him a 9-4 chance to get it as he starts in fifth place after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, providing him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond odds have moved out of 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are one of the other leading contenders in this .75-mile brief track. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first make certain to have a look at the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.

The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . Additionally, it nailed Busch’s enormous win at Bristol last week. Anyone who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Richmond Raceway are in his blood. His model mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For NASCAR at Richmond 2019, we can inform you the model is top on Kyle Larson, making a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond chances.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, which is the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of his last five events in Richmond and won the Richmond fall race at 2017. He’ll start in 14th place after a marginally slower than expected qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the quickest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he has shown the speed required to climb the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

And a huge shocker: Truex Jr., among the best Vegas favorites in 6-1, does not even crack the top five. There are far better values in a wealthy 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th in Texas Motor Speedway and then struggled last week in Bristol, ending 17th. In his career, Truex hasn’t fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he has finished in the top five just 3 times in 26 career starts at the track.

The model is also targeting two additional motorists with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these long shots can hit it big.